Katswiri: Trump Tariffs 2.0 Ikhoza Kutsogolera ku Yo-Yo Effect

Katswiri wofufuza za kutumiza a Lars Jensen wanena kuti Trump Tariffs 2.0 ikhoza kubweretsa "yo-yo effect," kutanthauza kuti kufunikira kwa zotengera zaku US kumatha kusinthasintha kwambiri, mofanana ndi yo-yo, kutsika kwambiri kugwa uku ndikuwonjezerekanso mu 2026.
M'malo mwake, tikulowa mu 2025, zomwe zikuchitika pamsika wotumizira zotengera sizikuwoneka kuti zikutsatira "script" zomwe akatswiri amayembekezera. Mwamwayi, vuto lalikulu kwambiri - chiopsezo chakumenyedwa pamadoko aku East Coast - chapewedwa. Pa Januware 8, International Longshoremen's Association (ILA) ndi US Maritime Alliance (USMX) adalengeza mgwirizano woyamba. Mosasamala kanthu, iyi ndi nkhani yabwino yokhazikika pamsika wotumizira zinthu mu 2025.

Pakadali pano, kutumizidwa kwapang'onopang'ono kwa mphamvu ndi Premier Alliance, mgwirizano wa "Gemini", ndi kampani yodziyimira pawokha ya Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC) koyambirira kwa February zitha kubweretsa chipwirikiti kwakanthawi kochepa, koma kutumizidwa kukamaliza, kukhazikika komanso kodalirika. malo amsika atha kuyembekezeredwa mu 2025, yomwe ilinso nkhani yabwino kwa oyang'anira masheya.

Komabe, kukhudzika kwa Trump Tariffs 2.0 kumafunikirabe kuganiziridwanso, makamaka pankhani ya kusalinganika kwazomwe zimafunikira pamsika waku US. M'malo mwake, kuwopseza kwamitengo yamitengo kwakhudza kale msika, pomwe ena aku US akutumiza mwachangu "kutumiza mwachangu" kuti achepetse zoopsa. Koma zomwe zimachitika mu 2025 ndi 2026 zidzatengera kukula ndi kuchuluka kwamitengo yomwe ikwaniritsidwa.

Sizikudziwikabe kukula ndi nthawi ya Trump Tariffs 2.0. Komabe, ngati mitengo yotsika kwambiri ikakhazikitsidwa, zotsatira za yo-yo zidzayamba kugwira ntchito.

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Pakadali pano, Adam Lewis, purezidenti wa Clearit Customs Brokers ku US, akuchenjeza kuti Trump akuwoneka wotsimikiza, ndipo kuthamanga kwa kukhazikitsa kungakhale kofulumira kwambiri kuposa momwe amayembekezera, kulimbikitsa kukonzekera.

Anachenjeza kuti, "Nthawi yomwe ikuyenera kuchitika ikhoza kukhala milungu ingapo."

Ananenanso kuti a Trump atha kugwiritsa ntchito malamulo apadera kuti apititse patsogolo kukhazikitsidwa, kunyalanyaza zokambirana zazitali ku Congress.

Malamulo ochokera ku 1977 amavomereza pulezidenti wa US kuti alowererepo pa malonda a mayiko atalengeza zadzidzidzi zadziko lonse kuti athetse ziopsezo zachilendo zomwe United States ikukumana nazo.

Malipoti akuwonetsa kuti mamembala a gulu lazachuma la Trump akukambirana za dongosolo lowonjezera pang'onopang'ono mitengo yamitengo pafupifupi 2-5% pamwezi.

Brandon Fried, mkulu wa bungwe la Air Freight Association (AfA), nawonso amadandaula zofanana. Anatinso, "Ndikuganiza kuti tiyenera kumvera zomwe Trump ananena pamitengo yamitengo."

AfA imatsutsana ndi zoletsa za msonkho, chifukwa nthawi zambiri amakweza mtengo ndipo angayambitse kubwezera zomwe zimalepheretsa malonda. Komabe, iye anati, “Sitimayi ndi yothamanga kwambiri, ndipo si yapafupi kuizembera.

Ntchito yathu yayikulu:

·Sea Ship
·Air Sitima
·Chidutswa Chimodzi Chotsitsa Kuchokera Kunyumba Yosungirako Zakunja

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Nthawi yotumiza: Jan-18-2025