Katswiri wofufuza za kayendedwe ka katundu Lars Jensen wanena kuti Trump Tariffs 2.0 ikhoza kubweretsa "zotsatira za yo-yo," zomwe zikutanthauza kuti kufunikira kwa zotengera ku US kungasinthe kwambiri, mofanana ndi yo-yo, kutsika kwambiri kugwa uku ndikubwereranso mu 2026.
Ndipotu, pamene tikulowa mu 2025, zomwe zikuchitika pamsika wotumiza makontena sizikuoneka kuti zikutsatira "zolemba" zomwe akatswiri ambiri amayembekezera. Mwamwayi, vuto lalikulu kwambiri - chiopsezo cha zipolowe m'madoko aku East Coast - lapewedwa. Pa Januwale 8, International Longshoremen's Association (ILA) ndi US Maritime Alliance (USMX) adalengeza mgwirizano woyamba. Komabe, iyi ndi nkhani yabwino kwambiri yokhudza kukhazikika kwa msika wotumiza makontena mu 2025.
Pakadali pano, kutumizidwa pang'onopang'ono kwa mphamvu ndi Premier Alliance, mgwirizano wa "Gemini", ndi kampani yodziyimira payokha ya Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC) kumayambiriro kwa February kungayambitse kusokonezeka kwakanthawi kochepa, koma kutumizidwa kwa mphamvu kukamalizidwa, malo okhazikika komanso odalirika pamsika angayembekezeredwe mu 2025, zomwe ndi nkhani yabwino kwa oyang'anira unyolo wogulitsa.
Komabe, zotsatira za Trump Tariffs 2.0 zikufunikabe kuganiziridwanso, makamaka pankhani ya kusalingana kwa kufunikira kwa zinthu zomwe zilipo pamsika wa US. Ndipotu, kuopsa kwa mitengo ya katundu kwakhudza kale msika, ndipo ena mwa ogulitsa katundu ochokera ku US "akufulumira kutumiza katundu" kuti achepetse zoopsa. Koma zomwe zidzachitike mu 2025 ndi 2026 zidzadalira kukula ndi kukula kwa mitengo ya katundu yomwe yakhazikitsidwa pamapeto pake.
Sizikudziwika bwino kukula ndi nthawi ya Trump Tariffs 2.0. Komabe, ngati mitengo yokhwima ikhazikitsidwa, zotsatira za yo-yo zidzayamba kugwira ntchito.
Pakadali pano, Adam Lewis, purezidenti wa Clearit Customs Brokers ku US, akuchenjeza kuti Trump akuwoneka wotsimikiza mtima, ndipo liwiro lokhazikitsa likhoza kukhala lachangu kwambiri kuposa momwe amayembekezera, akulimbikitsa kukonzekera.
Iye anachenjeza kuti, "Nthawi yogwiritsira ntchito ikhoza kukhala milungu ingapo chabe."
Iye anati Trump angagwiritse ntchito malamulo apadera kuti afulumizitse kukhazikitsidwa kwake, popewa zokambirana zazitali zomwe zinachitika ku Congress.
Malamulo ochokera mu 1977 amapatsa mphamvu purezidenti wa US kuti alowererepo mu malonda apadziko lonse lapansi atalengeza zadzidzidzi zadziko lonse kuti athetse zoopsa zilizonse zachilendo zomwe US ikukumana nazo. Izi zidagwiritsidwa ntchito koyamba panthawi yamavuto aku Iran pansi pa ulamuliro wa Carter.
Malipoti akusonyeza kuti mamembala a gulu la zachuma la Trump akukambirana za dongosolo loti pang'onopang'ono awonjezere mitengo ya katundu ndi pafupifupi 2-5% pamwezi.
Brandon Fried, mkulu wa bungwe la Air Freight Association (AfA), ali ndi nkhawa zofanana ndi zimenezi. Iye anati, "Ndikuganiza kuti tiyenera kutenga ndemanga za Trump pankhani ya mitengo ya katundu mozama."
Bungwe la AfA limatsutsa zopinga za msonkho, chifukwa nthawi zambiri zimakweza ndalama ndipo zingayambitse zochita zobwezera zomwe zimalepheretsa malonda. Komabe, iye anati, "Iyi ndi sitima yothamanga kwambiri, ndipo sikophweka kuipewa."
Utumiki wathu waukulu:
·Sitima Yapamadzi
·Sitima ya Ndege
·Kutumiza Katundu Mmodzi Kuchokera Kunyumba Yosungiramo Zinthu Zakunja
Takulandirani kuti mufunse za mitengo ndi ife:
Contact: ivy@szwayota.com.cn
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Nthawi yotumizira: Januwale-18-2025
